Authors: Rashmi Patel; Jessica Irving; Aimee Brinn; Matthew Taylor; Hitesh Shetty; Megan Pritchard; Robert Stewart; Paolo Fusar-Poli; Philip McGuire · Research

Can Early Warning Signs Help Predict Depression Outcomes?

Study reveals key symptoms that may predict more severe outcomes in people diagnosed with depression

Source: Patel, R., Irving, J., Brinn, A., Taylor, M., Shetty, H., Pritchard, M., Stewart, R., Fusar-Poli, P., & McGuire, P. (2022). Associations of presenting symptoms and subsequent adverse clinical outcomes in people with unipolar depression: a prospective natural language processing (NLP), transdiagnostic, network analysis of electronic health record (EHR) data. BMJ Open, 12(4), e056541. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2021-056541

What you need to know

  • Nearly 24% of people diagnosed with depression show symptoms typically associated with mania
  • The presence of manic symptoms doubles the risk of later developing bipolar disorder or psychosis
  • Agitation and mood instability are key warning signs that may predict poorer outcomes

The Hidden Complexity of Depression

When Sarah first visited her doctor about feeling depressed, she wasn’t just experiencing sadness and low energy. She also felt unusually irritable and agitated at times. While these symptoms might seem unrelated to depression, new research suggests they could be important warning signs about how her condition might develop.

Depression isn’t always straightforward. While we typically think of it as involving sadness, hopelessness, and low energy, some people experience a mix of symptoms that blur the line between depression and other mental health conditions.

A Deeper Look at Depression Symptoms

Researchers analyzed the medical records of nearly 20,000 people diagnosed with depression. They found that while most people showed typical depression symptoms like low mood and reduced appetite, about 24% also experienced symptoms we usually associate with mania - such as irritability, racing thoughts, or unusually elevated mood.

This is significant because these “mixed features” aren’t just interesting variations - they may actually help predict how someone’s condition will progress. The study found that people who showed these manic symptoms were twice as likely to later develop bipolar disorder or psychosis compared to those with typical depression symptoms alone.

The Warning Signs to Watch

Two symptoms emerged as particularly important warning signs:

  • Agitation (feeling restless or wound up)
  • Mood instability (rapid shifts in emotional state)

These symptoms appeared to act as bridges between typical depression symptoms and manic symptoms. When present alongside depression, they were associated with higher rates of hospital admission and poorer overall outcomes.

Why This Matters for Treatment

Current diagnostic guidelines for depression with mixed features don’t include agitation and mood instability as core symptoms. However, this research suggests these symptoms shouldn’t be overlooked, as they may indicate a need for different treatment approaches.

For example, standard antidepressants might not be the best choice for people showing these mixed symptoms, as they could potentially increase agitation or trigger manic episodes in vulnerable individuals. A more tailored treatment approach might be needed.

What This Means for You

If you’ve been diagnosed with depression, be aware that:

  1. Not all depression looks the same - having symptoms like irritability or agitation doesn’t mean your depression diagnosis is wrong
  2. It’s important to tell your healthcare provider about ALL your symptoms, even ones that don’t seem related to depression
  3. If you experience agitation or rapid mood changes, this deserves special attention and discussion with your healthcare team
  4. Your treatment plan may need adjustment based on your specific combination of symptoms

Conclusions

  • Depression can present with a mix of symptoms that may signal different treatment needs
  • Agitation and mood instability are key warning signs that warrant extra attention
  • Being open with healthcare providers about all symptoms helps ensure appropriate treatment
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